Two Major Forecasters Call For More Hurricanes
More hurricanes than we first thought…that’s the general idea from two leading hurricane forecasters. Last week the NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center in association with the National Hurricane Center and Dr. William Gray and his team at Colorado State University changed their original 2008 hurricane outlook to include more tropical activity the rest of the 2008 Atlantic Hurricane Season.
Dr. William Gray and his team from Colorado State have raised their total predicted named storms from 15 to 17. The reason they have raised their seasonal forecast numbers is because of a very active early tropical cyclone season and more favorable hurricane-enhancing sea surface temperature and pressure patterns in the tropical Atlantic. Here are the rest of their numbers…
Two days later, the government came to the same conclusion. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration now projects an 85 percent probability of an above-normal season…up from 65 percent in May. Their original forecast in May called for 12 to 16 named storms, 6 to 9 hurricanes and 2 to 5 major hurricanes. Now, they are calling for 14 to 18 named storms, 7 to 10 hurricanes and 3 to 6 major hurricanes.
So far this year, five named storms, including two hurricanes have formed. And we haven’t even reached the peak of the season…that happens August, September and October!
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