Some Fresh Political Stew & Some Leftover Stew…

 

We’re just about a week away from the Pennsylvania primary and both Hillary Clinton an Barack Obama continue to keep the political stew boiling…

..And while they’re whacking each other on the head—John McCain is enjoying a nice gentle simmer.

 

Have you noticed that McCain is getting virtually no coverage these days?

 

For a candidate in his position—with the GOP nomination locked up—he can go about the business of campaigning without having to worry about any major missteps becoming the media flavor of the day.

 

 

Right now—the mainstream press continues to focus on the Clinton-Obama dust up.

 

Ever since Obama’s “guns and church” comment—Hillary’s campaign has pressed it hard—desperately trying to turn it to her advantage.

 

By Sunday—Obama was finally trying to take the offensive…

Meanwhile— McCain is benefiting in another way from the carping candidates. As you can read here—yet another poll indicates the longer the Obama/Hillary smack-down continues—the more likely democratic voters jump ship….

 

 

INSTANT RECALL….

 

Meanwhile, as we’re enjoying a freshly prepared meal, let’s not neglect the leftovers in the fridge… Let’s look back at the early stages of this race for the White House…

 

 

Below are some excerpts from posts back in January….

 

Right after Iowa—it was unclear if Barack had staying power…. A couple of weeks later, the race still had no clear leaders—and on the GOP side, McCain looked to be on his way out the door—with a poor delegate showing… And the democrats race had tightened to just three candidates…

~~~~~~~JANUARY 4th~~~~~~~

 

 

BARACK TO THE FUTURE?

The results of the Iowa Caucus are in. Huckabee ran away with it on the Republican side pulling about 34% of the vote… And Barack Obama scored a decisive victory over his rivals capturing about 38% of the Democratic votes.

 

Now—lets look at his victory in the context of Iowa’s demographics.

 

Iowa is 93% White.

The minority population breaks down along these lines:

• 3.8% Latino
• 2.3% African American
• 1.5% Asian

All those various groups only make up 7.6% of Iowa’s population.

 

So WHERE is Obama getting his support? You do the math.

Is Iowa a fluke?

 

We’ll have to see what happens next in New Hampshire.

 

~~~~~~~ JAN. 18th ~~~~~~~

 

As we enter the next round of contests in the presidential quest— we’re seeing an interesting dynamic at play here on both the Republican and Democratic side—

—there’s no candidate whose just dominating; no one who has pulled out in front of the others and become the far and away leader….

 

Lets look back.

 

IOWA : Obama/Huckabee

N.H. : Clinton/McCain

MICHIGAN: Clinton/Romney

 

 

On the eve of the South Carolina primary—could we see yet ANOTHER set of winners?

It’s quite possible.

Fred Thomson is hoping to score big—as is John Edwards.

 

 

In addition to looking at front runners—we also have to look at delegate counts.

And, as of this writing, all the winners in each of the previous contests are—for the most part—are not that far apart when it comes to delegates.

 

DEMOCRATS NEED 2,025 DELEGATES TO NOMINATE.

• CLINTON: 190
• OBAMA: 103
• EDWARDS: 51

 

REPUBLICANS NEED 1,191 DELEGATES TO NOMINATE.

• ROMNEY: 54
• HUCKABEE: 22
• McCain: 15

~~~~~~~

Isn’t Hindsight Fun ???? 

—Steve

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