Oil’s Well, Or Ends of Wells?
Thursday, January 31st, 2008We’re at that time of year when oil companies begin reporting their profits or losses— and in the coming days, we’re no doubt going to be a lot of talk about those companies making record profits.
One thing we’re probably NOT going to be hearing a lot about is whether we’re running out of oil.
No, gasoline hasn’t YET reached 9.99 a gallon—but this could be a sign of things to come if SOME experts are correct.
We’re not talking about artificial shortages created by withholding production—nor are we talking about the oil wells running dry tomorrow…
We’re talking about the the possibility that the supply will now begin to dwindle over the coming decade or two….
It’s called peak oil theory…It was first proposed in 1956 by M. King Hubbert.
He accurately predicted that U.S. oil production would peak between 1965 and 1970…
Since that time—others have built on his work to come up with the bell curve that shows peak oil production—based on the reserves experts believe are still available globaly.
Depending on who you listen to—we’ve already past peak production—or we’re just a few years away from hitting it.
There’s a lot of complicated math used to come up with this simple concept: the glasss is half empty—and we’re still drinking from it.
But what about ethanol as an alternative?
It takes a lot of energy to convert organics to Ethanol…
And, you can read here how Ethanol production is already raising food prices because things that were once used to feed us are now being used to make fuel.
So it seems that whether we’re using alternative fuels—or depending on what is sure to be declining petroleum supplies—the cost of oil—and it’s by-products is going to do nothing but go up in the days ahead…
















